Nimanix Methodology

The Nimanix arenas present events or business arguments, and their likelihood to occur.  Probabilities are calculated based on participants' activity. Participants buy and sell opinions, according to their agreement or disagreement with the business argument based on their knowledge and personal estimation. The participant level of involvement, in each event, implies on the participant confidence level in his estimation, in each event.

When there is a match between buying and selling orders of two participants, in terms of argument and price, a transaction is executed and a new price is set. The prices imply on the likelihood that the event or business argument will, actually, occur.

During the trade session, opinion prices fluctuate, according to information, knowledge and estimations of all of the participants. The probability that an event or business argument will occur is estimated and presented continuously, but it is not equal to the price. It is calculated by a prediction formula. The estimated probability increases as long as positive opinions are bought or negative opinions are sold. It is decreased as long as negative opinions are bought or positive opinions are sold. Further more, the time stamps, in which transaction took place, and the status of the participants, who were involved in these transactions, are taken into consideration, while the estimated probability is being calculated.

The participants gain status while they make profits in the trade arenas, meaning, while selling opinions in higher prices than they were bought. The participant goal is to gain status, which will enable him to become a member in "knowledgeable groups". Such groups may be active in arenas where excelling members are rewarded with money or money equals.

To gain status, participants may choose different trade strategies. For example, one may choose to hold opinions for short terms, realize profits and reduce loses frequently, or hold opinion for long terms, even till the trade session ends. During that process, the Nimanix platform studies the participants' behavior, differentiate them, and classify knowledgeable groups, for each events category.

Nimanix methodology enables to evaluate simple business measures, using in a single trade arena, as well as, complex measures, using combination of trade data, received from different trade arenas.